Military & Defense

Suwalki Window

A Russian-Belarusian joint exercise has massed approximately 40,000 troops within striking distance of the Suwalki corridor — the 65-mile land bridge connecting Poland to Lithuania and separating Kaliningrad from Belarus. Simultaneous railway sabotage and coordinated cyberattacks have degraded Baltic mobilization infrastructure at a moment when NATO reinforcement timelines are already tight. As Supreme Allied Commander Europe, you own the enablers: VJTF activation authority, forward positioning of Atlantic Resolve forces, Allied Air Command surge coordination, and the pen on the formal NAC consultation request. Two advisors with fundamentally different threat models are standing at your shoulder. General Breland believes the 72-hour window is real and every hour of delay is a gift to Russian logistics. Ambassador Sorrell holds a specific, falsifiable counter-assessment: a genuine Suwalki corridor seizure requires 7-10 days of logistics consolidation that the current posture cannot support, and the 72-hour window rests on misapplied Ukrainian-theater assumptions. They cannot both be right — and the Alliance's survival may turn on which one is.

Your seatSupreme Allied Commander Europe (SACEUR) · NATO Supreme Headquarters Allied Powers Europe (SHAPE), Mons, Belgium

Turns
6
Pace
Self-paced
Scored on
  • Problem Framing
  • Decision Effectiveness
  • Risk Management
  • Strategic Cohesiveness
  • Context Management

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